So, Utah's having a real, live Presidential Primary next February 5. Some people make it sound like we're going to be on the big stage with Iowa and New Hampshire. We'll be a player, but not a big one.
For one thing, we aren't the only game in town. Many states are moving their primary dates up. As it stands right now, 13.58% of Democratic delegates and 18.24% of Republican Delegates will be assiagned on or before Feb 5.
For the Democrats, 9 states are having their primaries/caucuses on Feb 5. Four states are before that. Of those 13 states, Utah has the 11th most delegates.
For the Republicans, 8 states are having their primaries/caucuses on Feb 5. Four states are before that. Of those 12 states, Utah has the 9th most deleages.
Overall, Utah's 29 Democratic Delegates represent 0.664% of the total number of delegates (or 1.33% of the number needed to win).
Utah's 36 Republican Delegates represent 1.43% of the total number of delegates (or 2.86% of the total needed to win).
Other than the early fundraising efforts we're seeing now, don't expect Republicans to visit Utah much, because Mitt Romney has things pretty locked up.
However, contrary to what Thomas Burr has to say, we'll probably see some Democrats come and actually campaign. However, expect them to concentrate on not only some of the larger delegate counts available that day (Missouri 88, Arizona 67), but some big prizes the following Saturday (Michigan 157, Washington 97).
-Bob
(All delegate count info courtesy of The Green Papers)
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