Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Hillary's Come From Behind Fraud

Hillary Clinton claims that her 2-point win yesterday in the Indiana primary was a come-from-behind victory.

Liar Liar pants on fire.

First off, the final was 50.7%-49.3%, or a 1.4 point victory. But, that's a numbers game, and the least of the worries.

You see, saying that it was a come-from-behind victory would imply that Obama had been ahead for a while.

Luckily, I found this graph that can help:

(Graph Courtesy RealClearPolitics. Click to enlarge)

The lines on this graph represent the average of polls taken from the five mojor polling firms that were doing polls in Indiana. Purple Represents Clinton, Green represents Obama.

As you can see, on the first day of the graph, April 3, Clinton led 51.3-44.3, a 7-point lead.

Over the course of the next several weeks, Obama closed the lead, Virtually tying it on the 24th, and taking a 46.3-43.3 lead on the 25th. That lead held (because no polls were taken) until it tied on the 28th, with Hillary taking a lead on the 29th.

She took a 6-point lead into the weekend, which narrowed to a 5-point Clinton lead yesterday morning. Remember, she won by 1.4.

To use a sport analogy, let's say that the Utah Jazz start tonight's game well, and lead the Lakers by 7 early. They hold that lead for most of the game, except for a few minutes in the third quarter when the Lakers get their only lead of the game. The Jazz lead by five going into the final minute. Being the Jazz, they choke a litle down that final stretch, but hang on to win by 2 points. Jerry Sloan stands up to the mike and declares that it was a great come-from-behind victory, and is imediately laughed out of the league.


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