Current Delegate Count, 5/22/2008:
Needed to Nominate: 2026
Barack Obama: 1964 (62 needed)
Hillary Clinton: 1780 (246 needed)
John Edwards: 9
Available: 297
Obama needs 20.9% of available Delegates.
Clinton needs 82.8% of available Delegates.
Now, what happens if we throw Florida and Michigan in the mix?
Needed to Nominate: 2210
Barack Obama 2043 (167 needed)
Hillary Clinton 1973 (237 needed)
Uncommitted 55
John Edwards 20
Available 327
Obama needs 43.7% of available + uncommitted Delegates.
Clinton needs 62.0% of available + uncommitted Delegates.
2 comments:
How did you choose the Florida and Michigan numbers for each candidate?
I just don't know how to project what would happen if those delegations are seated although I agree that Obama still has a substantial lead if they are seated.
I ran numbers from results of those two primaries.
However, the Michigan number especially would be better for Obama than this, because any kind of compromise would throw out the results.
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